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Flash Flood Threat from Tropical Storm Philippe in Leeward Islands Imminent, According to Forecasters

by Gabriel Martinez
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Forecasters indicated on Sunday that Tropical Storm Philippe poses a risk of substantial rainfall and consequent flash floods in the Leeward Islands, starting as early as tonight. The storm is expected to later make a recurve into the central Atlantic, where it has the potential to escalate into a hurricane by midweek.

As of 5 p.m. on Sunday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center, based in Miami, reported that the storm was situated approximately 160 miles (255 kilometers) to the east of Guadeloupe and around 205 miles (325 kilometers) east-southeast of Barbuda. The storm was generating sustained winds at a speed of 50 mph (85 kph) and was advancing in a west-northwest direction at a pace of 7 mph (11 kph).

A tropical storm watch has been activated for the islands of Antigua and Barbuda. The hurricane center advised that those in the northern Leeward Islands should remain vigilant to the storm’s developments during the night. The organization further indicated that it might be necessary to issue additional tropical storm watches or warnings either later tonight or on Monday, contingent upon the trajectory of the storm.

Specialists at the center highlighted that a particularly intense band of rain located on Philippe’s southern flank is on the verge of moving over the northern regions of the Leeward Islands tonight. The primary concern for these areas is the significant rainfall and potential flash flooding.

Moreover, the advisory noted that the storm’s heavy rains could result in isolated to scattered flash flooding occurrences across Barbuda and Antigua, extending through Tuesday.

In terms of the storm’s future intensity, forecasters stated that prevailing strong wind shear conditions are anticipated to inhibit any further strengthening of Philippe in the near term. However, fluctuating atmospheric conditions could provide an avenue for the storm to intensify into a hurricane after it recurves into the central subtropical Atlantic within a few days.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about Tropical Storm Philippe

What regions are at risk due to Tropical Storm Philippe?

The Leeward Islands, specifically Antigua and Barbuda, are at immediate risk of experiencing heavy rainfall and flash floods as a result of Tropical Storm Philippe.

What is the current status of Tropical Storm Philippe?

As of 5 p.m. on Sunday, Tropical Storm Philippe was located approximately 160 miles east of Guadeloupe and 205 miles east-southeast of Barbuda. The storm had sustained winds of 50 mph and was moving in a west-northwest direction at 7 mph.

When is the storm expected to hit the Leeward Islands?

The storm is expected to impact the Leeward Islands starting overnight, with the potential for heavy rainfall and flash floods.

Are there any watches or warnings in place?

Yes, a tropical storm watch is currently in effect for Antigua and Barbuda. Additional tropical storm watches or warnings may be issued depending on the storm’s track.

What are the primary hazards associated with this storm?

The main hazards posed by Tropical Storm Philippe for the Leeward Islands are heavy rainfall and the consequent risk of flash floods.

Could the storm evolve into a hurricane?

While strong wind shear is expected to inhibit the storm’s strengthening in the immediate future, fluctuating conditions could potentially allow Philippe to escalate into a hurricane after recurving into the central subtropical Atlantic.

What should residents of the affected areas do?

Residents in the northern Leeward Islands, particularly Antigua and Barbuda, should monitor the storm’s progress, heed any warnings or advisories from local authorities, and prepare for the possibility of flash floods and heavy rainfall.

When is the heavy rainfall expected to cease in the affected areas?

Heavy rainfall from Philippe could produce isolated to scattered flash flooding in Antigua and Barbuda through Tuesday, according to the advisory from the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

What agency is responsible for monitoring the storm?

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami is the primary agency responsible for monitoring the status and potential impact of Tropical Storm Philippe.

More about Tropical Storm Philippe

  • U.S. National Hurricane Center Advisory
  • Leeward Islands Weather Forecast
  • Tropical Storm Preparedness Guidelines
  • Central Atlantic Weather Conditions
  • Wind Shear and Hurricane Development

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5 comments

EcoWarrior21 October 2, 2023 - 7:59 am

Important info but what’s being done to combat the bigger issue of climate change? More storms are just symptoms ppl.

Reply
Tim_in_Antigua October 2, 2023 - 8:51 am

Man, just moved to Antigua. Didn’t sign up for this. Where’s the best place to get updates?

Reply
MikeJenkins October 2, 2023 - 10:27 am

Wow, this storm sounds serious. good to know they’re keeping an eye on it. Better stock up on some essentials just in case.

Reply
SandyWeatherFan October 2, 2023 - 4:05 pm

Always amazes me how these storms can just turn into hurricanes. nature’s pretty wild huh

Reply
Carla_M October 2, 2023 - 4:19 pm

Is it just me or are there more storms this year than usual? starting to get a little worried tbh.

Reply

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