Declining Confidence in U.S. Primary Elections and Political Parties, Reveals AP-NORC Survey

by Chloe Baker
0 comment
AP-NORC Poll Politics

As the Republican primary season commences, a considerable number of party members express doubts about the accuracy of vote counting in their presidential primaries. This sentiment is part of a broader skepticism about the future of both major U.S. political parties, as highlighted in a recent survey by The Big Big News-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.

Approximately one-third of Republicans trust that the upcoming GOP primaries and caucuses will tally votes accurately. Around 30% have moderate confidence, while 32% possess little to no faith in the vote counting process. Conversely, 72% of Democrats express high confidence in their party’s vote counting accuracy in primary contests, with a marginally greater number trusting the Republican process as well.

The poll reflects a continuing trend of Republican skepticism regarding vote accuracy, not only in early contests but also in the general election. About 25% of Republicans feel confident about the accuracy of the 2024 presidential election vote count, a stark contrast to Democratic opinion. Meanwhile, less than half (46%) of U.S. adults overall share this confidence, mirroring a similar AP-NORC poll from June.

This Republican distrust follows years of unsubstantiated claims by former President Donald Trump about election fraud in the 2020 election. These claims have been widely discredited by federal and state election officials, including Trump’s own attorney general, and dismissed by courts, some appointed by Trump himself.

Julie Duggan, 32, from Chicago and a Trump supporter, reflects this sentiment: “I don’t trust any of them at this point.”

The survey indicates a general distrust in both major parties among U.S. adults. About one-quarter express minimal confidence in either party’s fairness in selecting presidential nominees. This level of distrust is even higher among Independents, at about 50%, compared to 25% of Republicans and 19% of Democrats.

Furthermore, 46% of U.S. adults are pessimistic about the manner in which national leaders are chosen. Similar levels of pessimism exist regarding the future of both the Republican and Democratic parties, shared by half of U.S. adults, including a significant proportion of Independents and party members.

Gary Jackson, a 65-year-old retired Republican trucker from Boise, Idaho, expresses disappointment with both parties: “Right now, I’m not impressed with either party.”

Political independent Christine Allen from Maryland admires her state’s former governor, Larry Hogan, but is disillusioned with the two-party system that she believes hinders capable leaders.

Despite mixed sentiments, some, like Allen, still believe in the fairness of primaries over the Electoral College. Yet, there’s widespread unease about the types of nominees parties might select. A recent AP-NORC poll reveals that Democrats and Republicans alike lack confidence in their party’s processes yielding a candidate who can win the general election or represent their views, or those of most Americans.

In a specific case, Mark Richards, a 33-year-old Democrat and teacher from Toledo, Ohio, anticipates President Joe Biden’s renomination despite his low approval ratings and the inherent flaws he sees in the nominating system, which he believes is overly influenced by political fundraising.

The survey, conducted from Nov. 30 to Dec. 4, 2023, included 1,074 adults and was based on NORC’s AmeriSpeak Panel, designed to represent the U.S. population. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.0 percentage points.

Report by Riccardi from Denver.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about Election Skepticism

What does the AP-NORC poll reveal about Americans’ views on the primary election process?

The AP-NORC poll highlights a significant level of skepticism among Americans, particularly Republicans, regarding the fairness and accuracy of the primary election process. The survey indicates that about one-third of Republicans have substantial confidence in the correct counting of votes in upcoming GOP primaries, while a notable percentage express little to no trust. Conversely, a majority of Democrats display high confidence in their party’s vote counting. Overall, the poll reflects a broader uncertainty about the future of both major political parties and the process of selecting presidential nominees.

How do the views of Republicans and Democrats differ in the poll?

The poll shows a stark contrast between Republicans and Democrats in terms of confidence in the election process. While only about one-third of Republicans express a high degree of confidence in the accuracy of vote counting in their primaries, 72% of Democrats are confident about their party’s vote counting. Additionally, Republicans exhibit greater skepticism about the accuracy of the 2024 presidential election vote count compared to Democrats.

What impact has former President Donald Trump’s claims had on Republican voters?

Former President Donald Trump’s unfounded claims about election fraud in the 2020 election have significantly influenced Republican voters’ trust in the election process. Despite these claims being discredited by federal and state election officials and rejected by the courts, a considerable number of Republicans continue to express distrust in the accuracy of vote counting, both in primary contests and the general election.

What level of confidence do U.S. adults have in both major political parties?

The AP-NORC poll found that a significant portion of U.S. adults lack trust in both the Democratic and Republican parties’ processes for selecting a presidential nominee. About one-quarter of U.S. adults express minimal confidence in either party’s fairness, with even higher levels of distrust among Independents. This indicates a widespread lack of faith in the current political system among the general population.

Are there any differences in optimism about the future of political parties?

The poll indicates that about half of U.S. adults are pessimistic about the future of both the Republican and Democratic parties. This pessimism is shared by a significant number of party members and Independents, reflecting a general apprehension about the direction and effectiveness of the major U.S. political parties.

More about Election Skepticism

You may also like

Leave a Comment


BNB – Big Big News is a news portal that offers the latest news from around the world. BNB – Big Big News focuses on providing readers with the most up-to-date information from the U.S. and abroad, covering a wide range of topics, including politics, sports, entertainment, business, health, and more.

Editors' Picks

Latest News

© 2023 BBN – Big Big News